Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 15

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)


	Sydney FC U23		Sydney Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.95	4.45
	1.65	4.35	4.6
	1.74	4.03	3.94	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.55	3.98	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	3.98 ↓ (4.1)	4.47 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney FC U23
56.4%

Draw
23.1%

Sydney Olympic
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.7%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

22.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney FC U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sydney Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC U23 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Olympic than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Sydney FC U23 - Sydney Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One).

Sydney FC U23 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sydney Olympic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sydney FC U23 is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sydney FC U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney FC U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
10.05.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney FC U23	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	St. George City - Sydney FC U23	0:5 ✺
24.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTTW
- Sydney Olympic
Australian NPL NSW
09.05.26	Marconi Stallions - Sydney Olympic	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sydney United - Sydney Olympic	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sydney Olympic - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney Olympic	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sydney Olympic - Manly United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
04.07.25	Sydney FC U23 - Sydney Olympic	0:2
22.03.25	Sydney Olympic - Sydney FC U23	1:2
25.08.24	Sydney Olympic - Sydney FC U23	1:2
17.05.24	Sydney FC U23 - Sydney Olympic	1:3

Sydney FC U23 - Sydney Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide