Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Penshurst Park (Sydney)


	St. George City		Sydney FC U23

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.35	2.72
	2.33	3.55	2.77
	4.85	3.62	1.69	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.28	3.32	2.77
	2.14	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.14)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George City
35.2%

Draw
28%

Sydney FC U23
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George City's form might have worsened.

Sydney FC U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC U23 than the current prediction. (-4%)

St. George City - Sydney FC U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 🟥,
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 3, ⚽,
59', 0 - 4, ⚽,
86', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Recent form of St. George City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sydney FC U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. George City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sydney FC U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. George City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, St. George City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
26.04.26	Rockdale Ilinden - St. George City	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	St. George City - Marconi Stallions	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sydney United - St. George City	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	St. George City - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL
- Sydney FC U23
Australian NPL NSW
24.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - Blacktown City	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
03.04.26	Manly United - Sydney FC U23	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
06.06.25	Sydney FC U23 - St. George City	3:1
22.02.25	St. George City - Sydney FC U23	5:0
06.07.24	St. George City - Sydney FC U23	1:2
01.05.24	Sydney FC U23 - St. George City	1:3

St. George City - Sydney FC U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide