Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 12

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Belmore Sports Ground (Belmore, NSW)


	Sydney Olympic		University of New South Wales

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.75	2.1
	2.81	4.07	2.19
	1.17	5.68	21.99	Watch
	2.7	3.8	2.1
	2.73	3.82	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.72)	4.22 ↑ (3.62)	6.1 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Olympic
50.7%

Draw
29.1%

University of New South Wales
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.5%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney Olympic's performance.

University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and University of New South Wales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Olympic than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Olympic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that University of New South Wales could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sydney Olympic - University of New South Wales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One and 11).

Sydney Olympic is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

UNSW is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that UNSW will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Olympic
Australian NPL NSW
19.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney Olympic	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sydney Olympic - Manly United	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sydney Olympic - Sutherland Sharks	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Wollongong Wolves - Sydney Olympic	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Sydney Olympic - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
18.04.26	University of New South Wales - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	University of New South Wales - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	North West Sydney Spirit - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	Sydney FC U23 - University of New South Wales	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WTLWW

Sydney Olympic - University of New South Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide