Match Info

VIETNAM: V.LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Sài Gòn		Binh Duong

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	2.06	3.65	2.85
	2.03	3.56	2.79
	2.1	3.5	2.88
	2.08	3.75	2.89	Watch
	2.1	3.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.56)	3.64 ↓ (4.08)	3.04 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sài Gòn
45.1%

Draw
25%

Binh Duong
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

21.8%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sài Gòn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sài Gòn's form might have worsened.

Binh Duong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Binh Duong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sài Gòn than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sài Gòn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Binh Duong than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Binh Duong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	18.7%	56.2%

Sài Gòn - Binh Duong Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sài Gòn will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Binh Duong will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Binh Duong: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ V.League 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sài Gòn won 0.

Sài Gòn is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Binh Duong is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Binh Duong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sài Gòn have a series of guest games.

In this match Sài Gòn is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sài Gòn won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sài Gòn won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sài Gòn FC
Vietnamese V League 1
13.11.22	Nam Định - Sài Gòn	3:0 ✺
03.11.22	Đà Nẵng - Sài Gòn	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Sài Gòn - Hai Phong	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Quy Nhon United - Sài Gòn	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Song Lam Nghe An - Sài Gòn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLLW
- Binh Duong
Vietnamese V League 1
09.11.22	Binh Duong - Thanh Hoa	4:2 ✺
03.11.22	Song Lam Nghe An - Binh Duong	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Binh Duong - Nam Định	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Binh Duong - Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh	2:2 ✺
19.10.22	Hai Phong - Binh Duong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Vietnamese V League 1
13.08.22	Binh Duong - Sài Gòn	2:1
24.03.21	Binh Duong - Sài Gòn	1:0
14.10.20	Binh Duong - Sài Gòn	3:1
05.06.20	Sài Gòn - Binh Duong	0:0
11.08.19	Sài Gòn - Binh Duong	0:1
Vietnamese Cup
04.07.19	Sài Gòn - Binh Duong	0:1
Vietnamese V League 1
10.05.19	Binh Duong - Sài Gòn	1:0

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