Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Vinh Stadium (Vinh)


	Song Lam Nghe An		Sài Gòn

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.77	3.45	3.9
	1.77	3.32	3.66
	1.83	3.4	3.7
	1.79	3.76	3.72	Watch
	1.81	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.44)	3.49 ↓ (4.03)	3.8 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Song Lam Nghe An
50.4%

Draw
25.9%

Sài Gòn
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Song Lam Nghe An has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Song Lam Nghe An's form might have worsened.

Sài Gòn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sài Gòn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Song Lam Nghe An than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Song Lam Nghe An, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sài Gòn than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sài Gòn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Song Lam Nghe An - Sài Gòn Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Song Lam Nghe An will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Sài Gòn will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Song Lam Nghe An: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ V.League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Song Lam Nghe An won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Song Lam Nghe An is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Song Lam Nghe An won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Song Lam Nghe An won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Song Lam Nghe An
Vietnamese V League 1
14.10.22	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Song Lam Nghe An	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh - Song Lam Nghe An	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Song Lam Nghe An - Viettel	0:1 ✺
13.09.22	Song Lam Nghe An - Đà Nẵng	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Thanh Hoa - Song Lam Nghe An	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLTL
- Sài Gòn FC
Vietnamese V League 1
14.10.22	Sài Gòn - Viettel	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Sài Gòn - Thanh Hoa	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Cong An Hồ Chí Minh City - Sài Gòn	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Sài Gòn - Hà Nội FC	1:1 ✺
Vietnamese Cup
07.09.22	Hoang Anh Gia Lai - Sài Gòn	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Vietnamese V League 1
13.03.22	Sài Gòn - Song Lam Nghe An	1:1
30.01.21	Sài Gòn - Song Lam Nghe An	1:0
08.03.20	Sài Gòn - Song Lam Nghe An	0:0
16.07.19	Song Lam Nghe An - Sài Gòn	2:2
31.05.19	Sài Gòn - Song Lam Nghe An	2:2
27.06.18	Song Lam Nghe An - Sài Gòn	3:2
09.06.18	Sài Gòn - Song Lam Nghe An	2:1

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