Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Anápolis		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.18	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.23	3.37	3.05
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.27	2.9	3.19	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	3.07 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
40.6%

Draw
29.9%

Retrô Brasil
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

32.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

31.4%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Anápolis - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Anápolis (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Henrique (C) 14. Andre 23. Caxambu 2. Fabio 19. Jefinho 9. Joao Felipe 30. Lucao 8. Paulinho Boia 6. Rafael Verrone 28. Samuel 10. Tatá	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 13. Bruno Peres 7. Fabinho (C) 6. Gustavo Salomao 27. Jonas 16. Luquinhas 9. Mascote 29. Mendonca 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 99. Vagner Love
Substitutes
18. Fernandinho 53. Gabriel (G) 3. Igor Souza 41. Joao Borim 77. Johnatan Cardoso 20. Neto Acara 13. Polaco 32. Rafael Mineiro 57. Rafinha 31. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 22. Rubinho	17. Diego Guerra 25. Eduardo 18. Franco R. 20. Gledson 28. Joao Lucas 26. Ly I. 30. Maycon Douglas 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 21. Rodolfo 15. Rodrigo Varanda 5. Romulo 2. Savio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Luquinhas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luquinhas ↓, Rodrigo Varanda ↑,
49', Andre 🟨,
59', Joao Felipe 🟨,
62', Caxambu ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
62', Joao Felipe ↓, Neto Acara ↑,
70', Mascote 🟨,
74', Tatá ↓, Rafael Mineiro ↑,
78', Fabinho ↓, Maycon Douglas ↑,
78', Gustavo Salomao ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
78', Mascote ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
84', Jefinho ↓, Johnatan Cardoso ↑,
85', Jonas ↓, Gledson ↑,
88', Fabio 🟨,
88', Gledson 🟨,
90+2', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Anápolis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Anápolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Anápolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Retrô Brasil - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.65%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.25	Tombense - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	ABC - Anápolis	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Anápolis - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Ponte Preta - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTTTL
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Guarani	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Caxias - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
29.09.24	Retrô Brasil - Anápolis	3:1
22.09.24	Anápolis - Retrô Brasil	2:1

Anápolis - Retrô Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide