Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Tombense		Anápolis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.77	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.87	3.27	4.68
	1.8	3.33	4.79	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.74	3.32	4.48	Watch
	1.77	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	4.48 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
51.1%

Draw
28.5%

Anápolis
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.2%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Anápolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Tombense - Anápolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Tombense (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tombense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tombense (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 3. Ianson 10. Ingro 11. Jefferson Renan 2. Julio Henrique 6. Kaike 8. Lucas Mila 7. Pedro Oliveira 5. Rickson 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 9. Ze Eduardo	1. Paulo Henrique (C) 23. Caxambu 10. Denner 2. Fabio 29. Igor Cassio 21. Kadu 30. Lucao 57. Rafinha 33. Renan Cocao 28. Samuel 4. Victor Oliveira
Substitutes
21. Adson 20. Anderson Ligeiro 17. Andre Cardoso 15. Fernando 22. Joao Pedro 16. Joao Vitor 18. Jupi 13. Leo Pereira 25. Luiz Felipe 19. Rafael Silva 12. Vinicius Dias (G) 14. Wesley	38. Ferrugem 41. Joao Borim 77. Johnatan Cardoso 11. Natan Bahia 20. Neto Acara 32. Rafael Mineiro 6. Rafael Verrone 31. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 22. Rubinho
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Angelo Luiz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ze Eduardo ⚽,
14', Ze Eduardo (Pen),
17', Lucas Mila 🟨,
36', Renan Cocao ↓, Rafael Verrone ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Denner ↓, Rafael Mineiro ↑,
46', Igor Cassio ↓, Johnatan Cardoso ↑,
52', Ze Eduardo 🟨,
54', Kadu 🟨,
64', Caxambu ↓, Neto Acara ↑,
64', Rafinha ↓, Joao Borim ↑,
66', Ze Eduardo ↓, Anderson Ligeiro ↑,
66', Lucas Mila ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
66', Jefferson Renan ↓, Rafael Silva ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Ianson (Own goal),
84', 🟨,
85', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Adson ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Anápolis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tombense is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.25	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Tombense - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Tombense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Ituano - Tombense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWL
- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.25	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1 ✺
19.05.25	ABC - Anápolis	3:3 ✺
10.05.25	Anápolis - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Ponte Preta - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Anápolis - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Anápolis - Tombense	1:0

Tombense - Anápolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide