Match Info

Serie B - Round 29

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, SporTV


	São Bernardo		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.70
	2.50	3.00	2.75
	2.50	3.20	2.75
	2.79	3.06	2.89
	2.56	3.03	2.92	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.80
	2.84	3.05	2.57
	2.60	3.00	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.77 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
35.4%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético Goianiense
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

30.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

São Bernardo - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 90. Luizao 35. Jemerson 97. Augusto 33. Mario Sergio 8. Foguinho (C) 26. Dudu Miraima 17. Romisson 9. Felipe Garcia 29. Pedrinho	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Warley 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Cristiano 8. Peixoto 7. Geovany Soares 10. Henrique Freitas 11. Gustavo Maia 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
30. Breninho 37. Davi D. 27. Echapora 10. Fabricio Daniel 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 31. Lucas Fernandes 14. Lucas Lima 77. Marcao Silva 6. Para 11. Pedro Vitor	19. Guilherme 18. Joao Pedro 15. Klebert 20. Matheusinho 13. Nata 17. Netinho 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito 16. Yuri
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Romisson ↓, Pedro Vitor ↑,
50', Luizao 🟨,
54', Guilherme 🟨,
58', Henrique Freitas ↓, Guilherme ↑,
58', Peixoto ↓, Netinho ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Felipe Garcia (Penalty Awarded),
66', Pedrinho ↓, Davi D. ↑,
66', Dudu Miraima ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
69', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
69', Felipe Garcia ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
78', Cristiano ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
78', Guilherme ↓, Yuri ↑,
80', Luizao ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 6th in the Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ PlayoffsFinal)).

São Bernardo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Atlético GO is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for São Bernardo: Helder Maciel (Yellow Cards) Matheus Salustiano (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Atlético GO: Bruno Jose (Inactive) Ewerthon (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Atlético GO: Marrony (Inactive).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, São Bernardo has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Atletico GO: 1.38% Sao Bernardo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.09.26	América Mineiro - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	São Bernardo - Londrina	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Goiás - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	4:0 ✺
09.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Atlético Goianiense - Botafogo SP	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - São Bernardo	0:1

Upcoming Matches