Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	São Caetano		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.83
	4.06	3.4	1.98
	4	3.3	1.91
	3.78	3.52	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.1)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	1.92 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Caetano
23.6%

Draw
27.7%

Ferroviária
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Caetano's form might have worsened.

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviária's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

São Caetano - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

São Caetano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Caetano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams São Caetano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.05.21	Internacional de Limeira - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
28.04.21	São Caetano - Ituano	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Botafogo SP - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
22.04.21	São Caetano - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
19.04.21	São Bento - São Caetano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTLT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.05.21	Ferroviária - Ituano	1:0 ✺
03.05.21	Mirassol - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
29.04.21	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2 ✺
25.04.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
20.04.21	Ferroviária - Guarani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.03.19	Ferroviária - São Caetano	2:0
17.02.18	São Caetano - Ferroviária	1:0

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