Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13Date: 13 July 2024, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Martins Pereira (Sao Jose dos Campos)
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 |
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 |
|
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São José-SP |
|
Pouso Alegre |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
|
 |
1.83 |
3.25 |
4 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.15 |
4.01 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.3 |
3.84 |
 Watch |
 |
1.8 |
3.28 |
4.27 |
|
 |
1.83 |
3.25 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.31) |
3.24 ↑
(3.08) |
4 ↑
(2.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
São José-SP
49.5% | Draw
27.9% | Pouso Alegre
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São José-SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São José-SP's performance.Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pouso Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São José-SP that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pouso Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.São José SP - Pouso Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Firmino ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 1, Thiaguinho ⚽,
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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