The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Luiz 39.7%
Draw 30.2%
EC São José Porto Alegre 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.1%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
28.1%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
São Luiz - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. São Luiz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). EC São José will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São Luiz (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - EC São José (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. São Luiz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). EC São José (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Nonato ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Douglas Oliveira ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Da Silva ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 0.
São Luiz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
EC São José is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, São Luiz won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, São Luiz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
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