The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Paulo 61.5%
Draw 24.8%
Cuiabá 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.4%
24.1%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
22.8%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
7.1%
7.1%
São Paulo - Cuiabá Predictions
Users Predictions:
São Paulo will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 5. Robert Arboleda 4. Diego Costa 6. Welington 25. Alisson 15. Michel Araujo 27. Wellington Rato 8. Giuliano Galoppo 10. Luciano 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)
1. Walter (C) 2. Matheus Alexandre 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 23. Ramon 30. Lucas Mineiro 88. Fernando Sobral 27. Denilson Alves 10. Max Alves 9. Pitta I. 25. Clayson
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 33. Erick 47. Ferreirinha 37. Henrique Carmo 31. Juan Santos 7. Lucas Moura 16. Luiz Gustavo 36. Patryck 11. Rodrigo Nestor 35. Sabino 39. William Gomes 50. Young (G)
3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 34. Bruno Alves 11. Eliel 5. Filipe Augusto 19. Gimenez L. 8. Guilherme Madruga 18. Lucas Fernandes 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 21. Railan 20. Rikelme
Coaches
Zubeldia L.
Petit
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Alisson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Denilson Alves ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
61', Michel Araujo ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
61', Wellington Rato ↓, Lucas Moura ↑,
61', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,
76', Luciano ↓, William Gomes ↑,
78', William Gomes 🟨,
80', Alisson ↓, Ferreirinha ↑,
81', Clayson ↓, Railan ↑,
81', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Eliel ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Eliel ⚽, Railan (A),
85', Matheus Alexandre 🟨,
87', Railan 🟨,
88', Ramon 🟨,
88', Ramon ↓, Rikelme ↑,
88', Max Alves ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1.
São Paulo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Cuiabá is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match São Paulo is certain favorite.
There will not play in São Paulo: Pablo Maia
(Injury)
Rafinha
(Injury)
There will not play in Cuiabá: Derik Lacerda
(Injury)
Deyverson
(Injury)
Gabriel
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's São Paulo to win the game is with odds 1.51.
Last 6 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
Brazil
Peru
Portugal
World
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Jandrei (G) 
Robert Arboleda 
Michel Araujo 
Giuliano Galoppo 
Pitta I. 
Petit 
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