Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 27 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	São Paulo		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.5	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.4
	1.95	3.1	4.45	Watch
	1.99	3.09	4.66
	1.94	3.14	4.63	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4	Watch
	1.95	3.24	4.56	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.69)	3.11 ↓ (3.6)	4.46 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
48.5%

Draw
30.3%

Talleres de Córdoba
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

25%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.

Talleres de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

São Paulo - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Talleres (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - São Paulo (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): São Paulo will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Talleres (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 32. Ferraresi N. 5. Robert Arboleda 35. Sabino 13. Diaz E. 48. Lucas Ferreira 21. Bobadilla D. 29. Pablo Maia 18. Wendell 47. Matheus Alves 17. Andre Silva	1. Burrai J. (G) 20. Schott A. 44. Fernandez S. 28. Portillo J. 16. Navarro M. 5. Galarza M. A. 27. Portilla J. 10. Botta R. 19. Galarza M. 11. Depietri V. 9. Girotti F.
Substitutes
43. Felipe Negrucci 28. Franco A. 37. Henrique Carmo 93. Jandrei (G) 10. Luciano 42. Maik 36. Patryck 39. Paulinho 15. Rodriguinho 49. Ryan Francisco 50. Young (G)	7. Bustos N. 3. Cardona T. 45. Chamorro T. 36. Chiavassa E. 22. Herrera G. (G) 17. Mosqueira J. 30. Ortegoza U. 26. Portillo M. 33. Reynoso E. 77. Rick 15. Riveros B. 6. Rodriguez J.
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Irusta G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Sabino 🟨,
25', Navarro M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Sabino ⚽, Andre Silva (A),
39', 1 - 1, Girotti F. ⚽, Depietri V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Girotti F. 🟨,
61', Andre Silva ↓, Luciano ↑,
61', Matheus Alves ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
61', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
64', Botta R. ↓, Reynoso E. ↑,
64', Galarza M. ↓, Rick ↑,
76', Galarza M. A. ↓, Ortegoza U. ↑,
76', Portilla J. ↓, Portillo M. ↑,
80', Fernandez S. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Luciano ⚽,
90+9', Luciano 🟨,
90+9', Portillo M. 🟨,

Preview

São Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In recent matches, São Paulo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Talleres is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Talleres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, São Paulo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson (Red Card) Ferreira (Foot Injury) Igor Vinicius (Back Injury) Jonathan Calleri (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Knee Injury) Luiz Gustavo (Contusion) Marcos Antonio (Hamstring Injury) Ruan Tressoldi (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Talleres: Catalan M. (Knee Injury) Herrera G. (Muscle Injury) Palacios S. (Inactive) Reynoso E. (Injury) Tarragona C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo (Ankle Injury) Lucca Marques (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Talleres: Benavidez G. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.25	São Paulo - Mirassol	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.25	São Paulo - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.05.25	São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.25	Palmeiras - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWTL
- Talleres de Córdoba
Copa Libertadores
15.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Alianza Lima	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Libertad Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Platense - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Alianza Lima - Talleres de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - São Paulo	0:1
29.05.24	São Paulo - Talleres de Córdoba	2:0
04.04.24	Talleres de Córdoba - São Paulo	2:1
13.02.19	São Paulo - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0
06.02.19	Talleres de Córdoba - São Paulo	2:0

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