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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 35%
Draw 29.8%
Vasco da Gama 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
29.1%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
29.3%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória Salvador's form might have worsened.
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (C) 98. Matheusinho 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 15. Walace 88. Ze Vitor 10. Matheuzinho 33. Erick 12. Tarzia D. 79. Renato Kayzer
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 83. Ramon Rique 5. Sosa S. 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 28. Adson 77. Spinelli C. 11. Gomez A.
80. Andre B. 9. Colidio F. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 70. Euder 18. Hinestroza M. 43. Lucas Freitas 17. Moreira N. 29. Paulinho 96. Paulo Henrique 82. Riquelme Avellar 3. Tche Tche
Coaches
Jair Ventura
Emanuel P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Caca 🟨,
61', Matheusinho ↓, Fabiano ↑,
61', Tarzia D. ↓, Rene ↑,
67', Adson ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
72', Ramon Rique ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
72', Spinelli C. ↓, David ↑,
73', Caca ↓, Marinho ↑,
76', Luan Candido 🟨,
78', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽, Cuesta C. (A),
82', Ramon ↓, Edenilson ↑,
82', Walace ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
85', Lucas Piton ↓, Lucas Freitas ↑,
85', Gomez A. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Colidio F. (A),
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
Recent form of Vitória has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Vitória might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Vitória: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
Baralhas
(Inactive)
Britez E.
(Yellow Cards)
Caique Goncalves
(Yellow Cards)
Camutanga
(Broken Leg)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edu
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nathan Mendes
(Knee Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Riccieli
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Vasco: Brenner
(Injury)
Cauan Barros
(Red Card)
Jair
(Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vasco: Rojas J.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Vitória Salvador - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.61%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Vasco da Gama - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.25%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Lucas Arcanjo (C) 
Tarzia D. 
Rodriguez J. 
Cuesta C. 
Moreira N. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
