Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 27

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Mirassol		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.40	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.50	4.10
	1.75	3.65	4.40	Watch
	1.88	3.58	4.77
	1.82	3.63	4.5	Watch
	1.86	3.55	4.45
	1.94	3.48	4.22	Watch
	1.85	3.45	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.95)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	4.37 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
51.4%

Draw
26.9%

Vitória Salvador
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

27.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Mirassol - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Mirassol (1.80) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (G) 32. Igor Formiga 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 80. Wallisson 19. Gustavo Silva 10. Chico Kim (C) 33. Eduardo 77. Alesson 30. Bruno Santos	1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 98. Matheusinho 2. Britez E. 25. Caca (C) 36. Luan Candido 83. Jamerson 33. Erick 95. Caique Goncalves 88. Ze Vitor 12. Tarzia D. 91. Rene
Substitutes
9. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 20. Daniel Borges 95. Edson Carioca 18. Elias 17. Fernandinho 5. Japa 2. Lucas Oliveira 25. Neto Moura 7. Shaylon 90. Thomazella (G) 12. Victor Luis	9. Alex Bruno 3. Darlan 26. Edenilson 70. Fabiano 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 10. Matheuzinho 8. Pochettino T. 16. Ramos R. 79. Renato Kayzer 69. Wanderson 71. Yuri (G)
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Rene ⚽, Lucas Arcanjo (A),
12', 0 - 2, Rene ⚽, Erick (A),
18', Britez E. 🟨,
29', Alesson 🟨,
42', Gustavo Silva ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
45', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Wallisson 🟨,
63', Alesson ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
63', Wallisson ↓, Shaylon ↑,
64', Willian Machado 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Bruno Santos ⚽,
69', Eduardo ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
69', Willian Machado ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
70', Tarzia D. ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
70', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
77', Caique Goncalves ↓, Edenilson ↑,
81', Rene ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
89', Marinho 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Edson Carioca ⚽, Shaylon (A),
90+1', Edson Carioca 🟨,
90+2', Matheusinho 🟨,
90+10', Edenilson 🟨,
90+10', Fernandinho 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1.

Mirassol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vitória has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mirassol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mirassol has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Denilson (Yellow Cards) Edson Carioca (Injury) Joao Victor (Yellow Cards) Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury) Negueba (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vitória: Anderson (Knee Injury) Camutanga (Broken Leg) Dudu (Back Injury) Edu (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nathan Mendes (Knee Injury) Ramon (Injury) Ramos R. (Knee Injury) Riccieli (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Walter (Injury)

There are questionable in Vitória: Baralhas (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Vitoria	30	10	6	14	33:44	-11	36
15	Mirassol	29	8	9	12	34:43	-9	33

Last Results with these Odds

Vitória Salvador - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 23.99%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
06.09.26	Coritiba - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Flamengo - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mirassol - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Santos - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTTL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
07.09.26	Vitória Salvador - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.09.26	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.08.26	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	1:0
29.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	2:0
26.07.25	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
01.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	0:0
19.05.23	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
07.08.22	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	1:2

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