Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 28

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz


	São Paulo		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.20	4.33
	1.98	3.15	3.95	Watch
	2.03	3.3	4.37
	1.97	3.47	4	Watch
	2	3.25	4.25
	1.97	3.28	4.36	Watch
	1.99	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	4.16 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Paulo
48%

Draw
29.2%

Internacional RS
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

São Paulo - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 22. Duarte D. 5. Robert Arboleda 2. Toloi R. 32. Pedro Lima 8. Marcos Antonio 48. Djhordney 12. Iago Borduchi 10. Luciano 37. Artur 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)	12. Anthoni (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 3. Maripan G. 25. Mercado G. 28. Vitinho 27. Paulinho Paula 8. Bruno Henrique 6. Matheus Bahia 7. Carbonero J. 26. Bernabei A. 10. Alan Patrick (C)
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 80. Cauly 94. Danielzinho 11. Ferreira 19. Lucas Ramon 46. Pedro Ferreira 49. Ryan Francisco 35. Sabino 43. Santana G. 27. Victor Sa 18. Wendell	35. Aguirre B. 9. Alerrandro 31. Allex 17. Eliasson N. 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 16. Ronaldo 19. Sanabria A. 24. Sirio F. (G) 29. Thiago Maia 4. Torres F.
Coaches
Dorival Junior	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Jonathan Calleri (Penalty Awarded),
19', Jonathan Calleri 🟨,
21', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
34', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
39', Duarte D. ↓, Sabino ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruno Henrique ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
46', Matheus Bahia ↓, Allex ↑,
64', Luciano ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
70', Vitinho ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
73', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Ferreira ↑,
73', Pedro Lima ↓, Lucas Ramon ↑,
73', Artur ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
79', Paulinho Paula ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
88', Carbonero J. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
90+3', Mercado G. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 18th in the Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 2.

In recent outings, São Paulo has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Internacional is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Internacional could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

São Paulo carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for São Paulo: Bobadilla D. (Inactive) Lucas Moura (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lucca Marques (Jaw injury) Luis Osorio (Red Card) Pablo Maia (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Internacional: Calebe (Inactive) Kayky (Ankle Injury) Rochet S. (Lower Back Injury) Villagra R. (Yellow Cards).

Doubtful / questionable for Internacional: Arhin B. (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, São Paulo has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for São Paulo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 13:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Sao Paulo	29	10	6	13	33:34	-1	36
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32:37	-5	31

Last Results with these Odds

São Paulo - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.72%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Copa Sudamericana
15.09.26	São Paulo - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Palmeiras - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.09.26	Boca Juniors - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.26	São Paulo - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWW
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Internacional RS - Santos	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
03.09.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.26	Bahia - Internacional RS	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.08.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
01.04.26	Internacional RS - São Paulo	1:1
03.12.25	São Paulo - Internacional RS	3:0
03.08.25	Internacional RS - São Paulo	1:2
22.09.24	São Paulo - Internacional RS	1:3
13.06.24	Internacional RS - São Paulo	0:0
13.09.23	Internacional RS - São Paulo	2:1
07.05.23	São Paulo - Internacional RS	2:0

Upcoming Matches