Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 1

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	São Paulo		Santo André

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7	Watch
	1.4	4.29	6.92
	1.3	4.33	8
	1.39	4.5	7.28
	1.35	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.67)	4.48 ↑ (3.5)	7.4 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
67%

Draw
20.6%

Santo André
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Paulo's performance.

Santo André has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santo André might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

São Paulo - Santo André Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 4. Diego Costa 28. Franco A. 6. Welington 25. Alisson 29. Pablo Maia 27. Wellington Rato 10. Luciano 7. Lucas Moura 9. Jonathan Calleri	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Ze Mateus 4. Afonso 3. Walce 6. Igor Fernandes 8. Dudu Vieira 5. Wellington Reis 7. Edimar 19. Lohan 11. Cleo Silva 10. Felipe Ferreira
Substitutes
21. Bobadilla D. 33. Erick 3. Ferraresi N. 47. Ferreira 14. Giuliano Galoppo 93. Jandrei (G) 31. Juan 16. Luiz Gustavo 44. Matheus Belem 43. Nikao 36. Patryck 18. Rodriguinho	21. Alexiel 20. Bruno Michel 18. Geovane 14. Joao Maistro 9. Leo Passos 13. Luiz Gustavo 16. Marciel 17. Richard 22. Robinho 15. Sousa 12. Wellington Santana (G)
Coaches
Carpini T.	Fernando Marchiori

Preview

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match São Paulo is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
06.12.23	São Paulo - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
29.11.23	Bahia - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	São Paulo - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
22.11.23	Fluminense - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTL
- Santo André
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	Santo André - São José-SP	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	São Caetano - Santo André	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Santo André - Portuguesa Santista	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	EC São Bernardo - Santo André	1:2 ✺
02.08.23	Santo André - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.02.23	Santo André - São Paulo	0:1
09.02.22	São Paulo - Santo André	1:0
23.04.21	São Paulo - Santo André	2:0
09.02.20	Santo André - São Paulo	2:1
05.03.17	São Paulo - Santo André	4:1

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