The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TP-47 44.2%
Draw 21.9%
VPS 2 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
23%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
21.6%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TP-47 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
VPS 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
The ML Model estimate for TP-47 aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS 2 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
TP 47 - VPS 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Rapo J. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 7. Eskelinen M. 11. Koivumies L. 16. Korkeamaki H. 28. Kulju H. 22. Lantto E. 3. Mattinen V. 17. Niskala J. 97. Taskila E.
12. Vayrynen L. (G) 24. Ajak T. 7. Autio L. 4. Berts W. 10. Karlsson H. 8. Mantymaki V. 25. Mohamed E. 32. Oduro M. 3. Petander E. 29. Rajalahti A. 21. Wik A.
Substitutes
27. Autti L. 20. Barrow A. 23. Liimatta L. 1. Nousiainen T. (G) 9. Nurkkala M. 2. Rauvala S. 21. Toivanen E.
14. Ala-Heikkila I. 28. Antila J. 1. Haavisto R. (G) 31. Myntti A. 27. Sparv O. 11. Tuovinen L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Rajalahti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Rajalahti A. ↓, Tuovinen L. ↑,
60', Koivumies L. 🟨,
65', Eskelinen M. ↓, Nurkkala M. ↑,
65', Koivumies L. ↓, Liimatta L. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Karlsson H. ⚽,
71', Korkeamaki H. ↓, Rauvala S. ↑,
73', Mohamed E. ↓, Myntti A. ↑,
77', Berts W. 🟨,
78', Ajayi O. ↓, Toivanen E. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Tuovinen L. ⚽,
88', Wik A. ↓, Antila J. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).
TP-47 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
VPS 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, TP-47 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 1:5.5).
Including home match between the teams, TP-47 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.