Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	TPS		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.65	3.4
	1.96	3.79	3.72
	1.94	3.55	3.66	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.88	3.82	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.68 ↓ (3.81)	3.55 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
48.8%

Draw
25.1%

Ekenäs
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

24.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ekenäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

TPS - Ekenäs Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TPS: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - TPS (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lauri D. (G) 8. Bostrom A. 6. Dahlstrom B. 2. Haggstrom O. 9. Helen O. 26. Ikonen L. 13. Konkkola M. 29. Muzaci A. 4. Sairinen A. 17. Sihvonen A. (C) 23. Vauhkonen E.	1. Ramilson (G) 3. Forsstrom A. 96. Gronblom W. 6. Karlsson J. 35. Leksell A. 10. Lucas Kaufmann 4. Manga T. 11. Mohammed N. 9. Ojala S. 7. Pietsalo R. 17. Sid R. (C)
Substitutes
21. Benga S. 3. Collin E. 22. Coulibaly A. 12. Hakanpaa O. (G) 20. Kauppila M. 14. Kawakita E. 25. Pohjolainen S. 16. Pohtio V. 10. Riski Ri.	8. Adu E. 25. Gottberg J. 22. Kaleba T. 70. Moro M. 5. Pakkanen R. 90. Rintamaki O. (G) 18. Sivonen A. 14. Stenius S. 24. Stynes D.
Coaches
Pinol I.	Sund C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Karlsson J. 🟨,
31', Bostrom A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Helen O. ⚽, Vauhkonen E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Helen O. ⚽,
54', 3 - 0, Vauhkonen E. ⚽, Muzaci A. (A),
65', 4 - 0, Muzaci A. (Pen),
67', Gronblom W. ↓, Stynes D. ↑,
67', Karlsson J. ↓, Adu E. ↑,
67', Pietsalo R. ↓, Gottberg J. ↑,
67', Konkkola M. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
67', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
71', Stynes D. 🟨,
74', Bostrom A. ↓, Kawakita E. ↑,
76', Lucas Kaufmann ↓, Stenius S. ↑,
81', Muzaci A. ↓, Riski Ri. ↑,
89', Dahlstrom B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4.

Recent performances by TPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

EIF is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

TPS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
30.08.25	KaPa - TPS	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	TPS - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2 ✺
25.07.25	Ekenäs - TPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLW
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
29.08.25	JäPS - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Ekenäs - Lahti	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Ekenäs - SJK Akatemia	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Lahti - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Ekenäs - TPS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.07.25	Ekenäs - TPS	0:2
02.06.25	TPS - Ekenäs	2:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.02.25	Ekenäs - TPS	1:2
Club Friendly
24.01.25	TPS - Ekenäs	3:1
26.01.24	TPS - Ekenäs	2:2
Finnish Ykkonen
02.10.23	TPS - Ekenäs	1:3
28.06.23	TPS - Ekenäs	3:1

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