Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 24

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ali Hassan Mwinyi Stadium (Tabora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	TRA United		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.95	6.78
	1.44	3.99	7.11	Watch
	1.4	3.5	7
	1.39	3.94	7.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	3.85 ↓ (3.87)	7.19 ↑ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TRA United
64%

Draw
23.4%

Mtibwa Sugar
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

23.4%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TRA United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TRA United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Mtibwa Sugar aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

TRA United - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Amonome J. (G) 30. Akandwanaho J. 14. Dulazi J. 46. Jiah E. 32. Karaboue C. 16. Mapaka A. 35. Mtengwa I. 21. Nganzi A. 45. Nouma V. 4. Tebandeke C. 33. Yassin M. (C)	31. Reuben T. (G) 20. Chicharo 13. Datius P. 48. Derrick M. 69. Evance F. 6. Lyawatwa H. 21. Magata F. 3. Masai O. (C) 45. Mkopi S. 17. Msafiri K. 12. Nyangi J.
Substitutes
. Bakari F. (G) . Chilunda S. . Chobwedo S. . Kombo N. . Lazarus J. . Makoye J. . Mbaa . Mrisho A. . Msati H. . Mugoya K.	. Costa V. . Dickson F. . Hafidh R. . Hillary A. . Kyaruzi E. . Madewa . Malashi . Mhesa I. . Mwashilindi E. . Ramadhan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

TRA United is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mtibwa Sugar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

TRA United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, TRA United is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, TRA United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, TRA United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	TRA United	6	1	3	2	6:6	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TRA United
Tanzanian Premier League
12.05.26	TRA United - JKT Tanzania	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	TRA United - Azam	4:1 ✺
04.05.26	Mashujaa - TRA United	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Prisons - TRA United	0:3 ✺
17.04.26	TRA United - Pamba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWLWW
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
14.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Kinondoni MC	4:3 ✺
09.05.26	Singida Black Stars - Mtibwa Sugar	4:0 ✺
06.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Azam	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
29.11.25	Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United	2:1
09.05.24	Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United	3:0
01.12.23	TRA United - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1

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