Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 19

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Tabasalu		Viljandi Tulevik

	1	X	2
	4.10	4.75	1.51
	3.55	4.30	1.66
	4.09	5.22	1.52
	3.91	5.26	1.55	Watch
	4.00	5.15	1.46
	4.74	5.00	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (2.85)	4.95 ↑ (4.1)	1.53 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
22.3%

Draw
18.3%

Viljandi Tulevik
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

22%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

21.9%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tabasalu's form might have worsened.

Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viljandi Tulevik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tabasalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viljandi Tulevik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tabasalu - Viljandi Tulevik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Roste R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 0, Riigov R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Tabasalu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tulevik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tulevik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tulevik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabasalu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tulevik	31	14	5	12	81:64	17	47
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:8 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.07.26	Tallinna Wolves - Tabasalu	0:10 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
18.06.26	Tammeka U21 - Tabasalu	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LWWWW
- JK Viljandi Tulevik
Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.26	Narva Trans U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
19.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	3:4 ✺
06.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Jõhvi Phoenix	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
24.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tabasalu	3:2

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