Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 21

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Tartu Kalev		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.59	4.87
	1.4	5.71	4.94	Watch
	1.35	5.50	4.80
	1.44	5.44	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	5.56 ↑ (4.8)	4.89 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tartu Kalev
65.2%

Draw
16.3%

Tabasalu
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

19.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

19.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tartu Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Kalev's performance.

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Kalev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Kruusla G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Villems M. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Kohv K. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Anepaio A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Tartu Kalev has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tartu Kalev is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tartu Kalev won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tartu Kalev won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72:58	14	47
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	0:5 ✺
12.07.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	10:2 ✺
04.07.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
18.06.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
18.07.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Tabasalu - Viljandi Tulevik	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:8 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.07.26	Tallinna Wolves - Tabasalu	0:10 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1
21.03.26	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	4:0
23.10.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:9
09.08.25	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	1:1
19.06.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	2:1
08.03.25	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	1:0
Club Friendly
20.02.22	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	2:6

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