Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 18

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Tabasalu		Pärnu Vaprus U21

	1	X	2
	2.50	4.00	2.10
	2.75	3.95	2.02
	3.26	4.99	1.71
	2.49	4.62	2.11	Watch
	3.2	4.9	1.64
	2.49	4.25	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)	4.45 ↑ (3.95)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
32.7%

Draw
20.5%

Pärnu Vaprus U21
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

22.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

23.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tabasalu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Pärnu Vaprus U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus U21 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tabasalu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pärnu Vaprus U21 will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Kolvart S. (Penalty Awarded),
10', 0 - 2, Kutsar K. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 0 - 3, Kutsar K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 5)
46', 0 - 4, Orm R. ⚽,
49', 1 - 4, Dobosev-Proosvali A. ⚽,
50', 1 - 5, Kutsar K. ⚽,
58', 2 - 5, Riigov R. ⚽,
78', 2 - 6, Kolvart S. ⚽,
82', 2 - 7, Keskula E. ⚽,
86', 2 - 8, Kolvart S. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 5).

Tabasalu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Pärnu Vaprus U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pärnu Vaprus U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pärnu Vaprus U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabasalu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Tabasalu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	30	14	4	12	95:62	33	46
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Cup
02.07.26	Tallinna Wolves - Tabasalu	0:10 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
18.06.26	Tammeka U21 - Tabasalu	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
22.06.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:4 ✺
19.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
15.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	4:2 ✺
01.06.26	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	3:2 ✺
28.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Pärnu Vaprus U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
11.04.26	Tabasalu - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:2

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