Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 31

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Tabasalu Arena (Tabasalu)


	Tabasalu		Paide U21

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.18	2.98
	1.91	4.05	3.05
	1.83	3.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.93)	4.01 ↓ (4.1)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
48.1%

Draw
22.4%

Paide U21
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

22%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

21.1%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Paide U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Tabasalu - Paide U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kristel R. (G) 4. Kokla J. 10. Lindemann R. 5. Nilsen J. 16. Pelt K. 7. Pormeister K. 17. Riigov R. 66. Salei S. (C) 80. Taal J. 20. Tiits A. 22. Vilisoo E.	70. Isakar R. (G) 30. Badamosi A. 17. Cham P. A. 25. Gueye M. 32. Kiik K. 88. Kool R. 26. Luts R. 24. Nigula R. 66. Rak C. 46. Reivik K. (C) 22. Soo S.
Substitutes
76. Altmets K. 32. Anepaio A. 74. Kodar R. (G) 11. Matvejev T. 18. Mets D. 14. Moor A. 26. Vuks H. O.	71. Kallas K. 39. Murulaid R. 95. Pitsner A. 72. Roos R. 6. Tumasevski E. 80. Untilov Y. (G) 57. Vassilenko K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tabasalu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tabasalu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Paide U21 - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
28.09.25	Kuressaare U21 - Tabasalu	0:5 ✺
21.09.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tabasalu	2:4 ✺
18.09.25	Tabasalu - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Tabasalu - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWTTL
- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
28.09.25	Paide U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	2:2 ✺
23.09.25	Nõmme United U21 - Paide U21	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Paide U21 - Tartu Kalev	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Paide U21 - Kuressaare U21	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Narva Trans U21 - Paide U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
02.07.25	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	0:2
25.05.25	Tabasalu - Paide U21	1:0
16.03.25	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	3:2
Estonian Esiliiga
04.11.24	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	3:3
05.08.24	Tabasalu - Paide U21	1:3
11.05.24	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	3:0
17.03.24	Tabasalu - Paide U21	0:1

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