Match Info

2. SNL - Round 24

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Rajko Štolfa (Sežana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	SportKlub


	Tabor Sežana		Nafta

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.1	2.42
	2.45	3.27	2.52
	2.69	3.38	2.49	Watch
	2.5	3	2.45
	2.71	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.47)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)	2.48 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabor Sežana
34.9%

Draw
28.3%

Nafta
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabor Sežana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabor Sežana than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-2%)

Tabor Sežana - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Marosa A. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Marosa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tabor Sežana won 2.

Tabor Sežana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nafta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tabor Sežana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tabor Sežana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	9	7	1	1	20:7	13	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tabor Sežana
Slovenian 2 SNL
12.04.26	Bistrica - Tabor Sežana	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Ilirija Ljubljana - Tabor Sežana	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Tabor Sežana - Jadran Dekani	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jesenice - Tabor Sežana	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Tabor Sežana - Krško	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTW
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
11.04.26	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jesenice - Nafta	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Nafta - Krško	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gorica - Nafta	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Nafta - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
04.10.25	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	3:1
22.03.24	Tabor Sežana - Nafta	0:4
09.09.23	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	0:0
15.05.19	Tabor Sežana - Nafta	2:1
27.10.18	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	0:1
11.04.18	Nafta - Tabor Sežana	3:1

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