Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 17

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tacuarembó		Oriental de La Paz

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.80	2.15
	3.30	2.75	2.18
	3.32	2.95	2.28
	3.24	2.91	2.4	Watch
	3.35	2.75	2.30
	3.14	3.25	2.26
	3.25	2.80	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.04)	2.89 ↑ (2.84)	2.25 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
27.9%

Draw
31.6%

Oriental de La Paz
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

32%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

32.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tacuarembó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oriental will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oriental	21	8	8	5	29:22	7	32
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.85%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Oriental de La Paz - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Tacuarembó - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWTW
- Oriental de La Paz
Uruguay Copa
03.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Oriental de La Paz - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
26.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.08.26	La Luz - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:0
10.08.25	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	1:1
18.05.25	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	1:0
08.03.25	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:2
11.08.24	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	1:0
12.05.24	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:1
03.12.23	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	1:1

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