Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 15Date: 23 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
La Luz |
|
Oriental de La Paz |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.00 |
3.10 |
|
 |
2.30 |
3.00 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.26 |
3.06 |
3.30 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.12 |
3.29 |
 Watch |
 |
2.20 |
3.00 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.19 |
3.14 |
3.40 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.95 |
3.20 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.3) |
3.04 ↑
(3) |
3.2 ↑
(2.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Luz
41.3% | Draw
30.1% | Oriental de La Paz
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Oriental de La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)La Luz - Oriental de La Paz Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Alexandrino R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Rodriguez N. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 11)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.La Luz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).Including home matches between the teams, La Luz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
| 3 | Oriental | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:22 | 7 | 32 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 27 |
|
|
|
|
|
Last Results with these Odds
Oriental de La Paz - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 17.05.26 | Oriental de La Paz - La Luz | 0:0 | | 18.10.25 | La Luz - Oriental de La Paz | 1:1 | | 26.07.25 | Oriental de La Paz - La Luz | 2:2 | | 05.04.25 | La Luz - Oriental de La Paz | 1:2 | | 21.09.24 | La Luz - Oriental de La Paz | 1:1 | | 05.06.24 | Oriental de La Paz - La Luz | 1:0 | | 07.04.24 | Oriental de La Paz - La Luz | 0:1 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
