Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Tacuarembó		Bella Vista

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	2.04	3.09	3.26
	2.04	3.09	3.26
	2.05	3.2	3.32
	2.06	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)	3.15 ↑ (3.13)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
44%

Draw
28.6%

Bella Vista
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Bella Vista have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (-1%)

Tacuarembó - Bella Vista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).

Tacuarembó has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bella Vista is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tacuarembó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tacuarembó will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tacuarembó won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.10.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Tacuarembó - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.10.23	Rentistas - Bella Vista	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Bella Vista - Miramar Misiones	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Progreso - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
11.10.23	Ferro Carril - Bella Vista	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.10.23	Bella Vista - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.06.23	Bella Vista - Tacuarembó	1:2
02.04.23	Tacuarembó - Bella Vista	1:3

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