Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)

Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)


	Tacuary		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.07	2.95	3.6
	2.02	3.2	3.55
	2.11	3.15	4.14
	2.05	3	3.6	Watch
	2.01	3.13	3.78	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.08)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)	3.68 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
45.3%

Draw
29.7%

12 de Octubre
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

30.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacuary that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Tacuary - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tacuary will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tacuary: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Tacuary will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tacuary won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tacuary won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.10.22	Resistencia - Tacuary	0:3 ✺
12.10.22	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	0:3 ✺
05.10.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Tacuary - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
28.09.22	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTL
- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.10.22	12 de Octubre - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
06.10.22	12 de Octubre - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
03.10.22	Nacional Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.09.22	12 de Octubre - Atlético Tembetary	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
20.08.22	12 de Octubre - Tacuary	0:2
29.04.22	12 de Octubre - Tacuary	2:0
11.02.22	Tacuary - 12 de Octubre	1:1

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