Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Olimpia Asuncion		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	7	Watch
	1.39	4.1	7
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.26	8.18
	1.44	4.12	7.69	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.41	4.28	8	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.23 ↑ (3.98)	7.55 ↑ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
65.9%

Draw
21.8%

Tacuary
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

23.1%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

21.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary Predictions

Users Predictions: Olimpia Asuncion will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olveira G. (G) 21. Olmedo C. 5. Barreto Viera O. J. 22. Capasso M. 36. Zabala F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 11. Redes R. 20. Franco Zayas A. F. 7. Fernandez H. 33. Morinigo A. 30. Benitez H.	12. Bareiro A. (G) 34. Arguello M. 5. Caceres M. (C) 13. Espinoza P. 24. Samudio M. 17. Morinigo N. 6. Paredes M. 11. Brizuela F. 3. Jean Mangabeira 7. Camacho N. 25. Lezcano D.
Substitutes
8. Arrua C. 3. Benitez H. 2. Espinola C. 13. Frutos R. (G) 17. Gomez M. 10. Gonzalez D. 32. Lopez E. 24. Montenegro B. 19. Pratto L. 27. Ramon Martinez 34. Vera M. 14. Zarza P.	33. Caceres L. 37. Cano A. 10. Colman O. 2. Fernandez A. 15. Juan Gauto 27. Medina G. 36. Nunez M. 20. Riveros L. 21. Romero L. 18. Servin J. 9. Verdun J.
Coaches
Palermo M.	Vera E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Espinoza P. ⚽, Camacho N. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Morinigo A. ⚽, Fernandez H. (A),
27', Ortiz R. 🟨,
32', Samudio M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
35', 2 - 1, Redes R. ⚽,
40', Espinoza P. 🟨,
42', Capasso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Morinigo N. 🟨,
59', Lezcano D. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
63', Morinigo A. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
67', Paredes M. ↓, Colman O. ↑,
67', Camacho N. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
70', Fernandez H. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
71', Benitez H. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Franco Zayas A. F. ⚽,
79', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Ramon Martinez ↑,
79', Redes R. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 3.

Recent matches Olimpia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tacuary is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Olimpia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:10 (average 1.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.11.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
30.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWT
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.11.24	Cerro Porteño - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Tacuary - Sol de América	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	General Caballero JLM - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	0:3 ✺
06.10.24	2 de Mayo - Tacuary	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.08.24	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
13.04.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	2:1
23.01.24	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
23.09.23	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0
08.07.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	1:2
23.04.23	Tacuary - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
12.02.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Tacuary	4:0

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