Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Taishan (Tchaj-an)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Taian Tiankuang		Changchun Xidu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.40	6.00
	1.62	3.15	5.7	Watch
	1.66	3.3	7.63
	1.53	3.48	6.8	Watch
	1.64	2.75	7.55
	1.65	3.39	5.65	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.41)	3.31 ↓ (3.82)	6.5 ↓ (7.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taian Tiankuang
58%

Draw
27.8%

Changchun Xidu
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

23.7%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22.6%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taian Tiankuang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taian Tiankuang's form might have worsened.

Changchun Xidu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taian Tiankuang than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taian Tiankuang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Taian Tiankuang - Changchun Xidu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Wang Meng (G) 22. Wang Bohan 29. Yao Xuejian (C) 3. Zhu Jiayi 31. Tong Zhicheng 14. Hai Xiaorui 18. Memet-Ali Memet-Raim 21. Deng H. 20. Halimurat Kamiran 33. Gao Yixuan 36. Muhtar Ular	17. Hu H. (G) 7. Wang Xin (C) 13. Wang Tianci 21. Wang H. 3. Yangyang Ma 45. Yang Jingfan 6. Liu Yang 44. Chen Quanjiang 2. Wang Song 49. Feng Zijun 14. He Youzu
Substitutes
38. Ba Te 26. Chen Yu 30. Gao Jian 5. Jin Guanghuan 39. Lai J. 13. Lei Guanzhang 32. Mao Ziyu 34. Pang Zhiquan 24. Wang Kailong (G) 1. Wei Zichao (G) 19. Zhang Bohan 11. Zhang Y.	15. Geng Xianglong 10. Huang Wenzhuo 58. Kadir Aysan 39. Liang Huan 37. Li Jiaqi 24. Liu Jiahao 29. Memet Nuryasin 11. Sun Fei 22. Yang Xinyang (G) 8. Yu Z. 18. Zhong Weihong 59. Zhou Yan
Coaches
Qu Wenbo	Jankovic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Wang Xin 🟨,
17', Hai Xiaorui 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, He Youzu ⚽, Yang Jingfan (A),
45+3', He Youzu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wang H. ↓, Kadir Aysan ↑,
46', Zhu Jiayi ↓, Mao Ziyu ↑,
46', Hai Xiaorui ↓, Chen Yu ↑,
46', Deng H. ↓, Zhang Y. ↑,
60', He Youzu ↓, Liang Huan ↑,
61', Liu Yang ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
63', Halimurat Kamiran 🟨,
70', Feng Zijun ↓, Memet Nuryasin ↑,
70', Yang Jingfan ↓, Zhong Weihong ↑,
70', Memet-Ali Memet-Raim ↓, Ba Te ↑,
70', Muhtar Ular ↓, Pang Zhiquan ↑,
72', Mao Ziyu ↓, Lei Guanzhang ↑,
74', Liang Huan 🟨,
88', Yangyang Ma 🟨,
89', Huang Wenzhuo 🟨,
90+7', Ba Te 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Taian Tiankuang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Changchun Xidu has had a series of home games.

In this match, Taian Tiankuang is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Taian Tiankuang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Taian Tiankuang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taian Tiankuang
Chinese Yi League
28.06.26	Beijing Institute of Technology - Taian Tiankuang	1:1 ✺
24.06.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Taian Tiankuang	3:2 ✺
20.06.26	Taian Tiankuang - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Shanghai Second - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
26.05.26	Taian Tiankuang - Dalian Kewei	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLTW
- Changchun Xidu
Chinese Yi League
27.06.26	Changchun Xidu - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:0 ✺
23.06.26	Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	Dalian Kewei - Changchun Xidu	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Changchun Xidu - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Changchun Xidu - Beijing Institute of Technology	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
15.04.26	Changchun Xidu - Taian Tiankuang	1:0
15.06.25	Changchun Xidu - Taian Tiankuang	1:0
05.04.25	Taian Tiankuang - Changchun Xidu	1:2

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