Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 10 July 2023, Monday

Location: Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium (Cairo)

Referee: Nagi M. (Egy)


	Tala`ea El-Gaish		Aswan

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.7
	2.05	2.9	3.75
	2.09	3.01	4.27
	2	2.75	3.75
	2.05	3.02	4.15
	1.97	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.09)	2.95 ↑ (2.94)	3.94 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tala`ea El-Gaish
45.4%

Draw
31.2%

Aswan
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

31.7%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

31.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Aswan aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Tala`ea El Gaish - Aswan Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. El-Gaish will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Aswan will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El-Gaish: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radwan O. (G) 8. Zola A. A. 22. Khawaga M. 4. Fathallah M. 21. Meteb A. 26. Badr A. 5. Shawky F. 19. Samir A. (C) 38. Joules P. 11. Tarek K. 3. Mansour A. A.	1. Walid K. (C) 11. Mido M. 25. Atwa M. 4. Castelo A. 27. Fathi A. 26. Ayagwa R. 14. Fathy E. 12. Nagy M. 9. Hamdi Zaki M. 21. Khaled A. 18. Dilson
Substitutes
28. Halawa K. 20. Hamdi A. 15. Magdy H. 18. Massoud A. (G) 12. Mohareb I. 36. Samir M. 24. Sherif M. 29. Wadi M. 14. Wahid M.	15. Abdelrasoul M. 37. Anani M. 2. Belya A. 3. Dahroug A. 19. Gamal I. 29. Hossam H. 22. Morsi M. 90. Saudi O. 13. Soliman I. (G)
Coaches
Basyouny A.	Al Ramadi A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El-Gaish won 1.

Recent matches El-Gaish is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aswan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match El-Gaish is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches El-Gaish won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams El-Gaish won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tala`ea El-Gaish
Egyptian Premier League
30.06.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
23.06.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - National Bank of Egypt	1:2 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
08.06.23	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Smouha	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Zamalek - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWWL
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
29.06.23	Ismaily - Aswan	1:1 ✺
08.06.23	Aswan - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
01.06.23	Haras El-Hodood - Aswan	1:0 ✺
23.05.23	Aswan - National Bank of Egypt	1:2 ✺
18.05.23	Zamalek - Aswan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
27.01.23	Aswan - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:2
01.05.21	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Aswan	3:0
16.12.20	Aswan - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:1
02.09.20	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Aswan	0:0
29.12.19	Aswan - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:1
10.04.17	Aswan - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:0
29.10.16	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Aswan	0:0

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