Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tanzania	Azam Sports 4


	Mara Sugar		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.52
	5.52	3.4	1.45
	6.45	3.6	1.53	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	6.72	3.7	1.47
	6	3.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (3.07)	3.48 ↑ (3.09)	1.62 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
16.5%

Draw
26.6%

Gor Mahia
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.2%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mara Sugar's form might have worsened.

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mara Sugar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gor Mahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mara Sugar - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
27.11.24	Tusker - Mara Sugar	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Mara Sugar - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	AFC Leopards - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Bidco United - Mara Sugar	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Mara Sugar - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTWT
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
27.11.24	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Bandari - Gor Mahia	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
28.10.24	Nairobi City Stars - Gor Mahia	2:1 ✺
23.10.24	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTLT

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