Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Gor Mahia		Kakamega Homeboyz

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.58	3.75
	2.25	2.46	3.94
	2.25	2.56	3.88	Watch
	2.2	2.45	3.8
	2.19	2.6	3.84
	2.25	2.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.91)	2.51 ↓ (3)	3.87 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gor Mahia
40.7%

Draw
36%

Kakamega Homeboyz
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

30.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gor Mahia's form might have worsened.

Kakamega Homeboyz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gor Mahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gor Mahia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gor Mahia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Onyango A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gor Mahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Homeboyz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gor Mahia is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
12.12.25	Bandari - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
25.11.25	Gor Mahia - APS Bomet	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Gor Mahia - Tusker	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Police FC - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWW
- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
12.12.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Mathare United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.01.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	0:0
27.11.24	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0
06.04.24	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0
24.09.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	1:1
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
02.04.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	0:1

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