Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 22

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Talavera de la Reina		Tenerife B

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.82	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.15	4
	1.95	3.17	4.12
	1.82	3.23	4.37
	1.87	3.2	4.28
	1.88	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.58)	3.16 ↓ (3.56)	4.17 ↓ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
49.2%

Draw
28.9%

Tenerife B
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.8%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talavera de la Reina's form might have worsened.

Tenerife B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tenerife B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Navarro I. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
10', 3 - 0, Parapar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 3 - 1, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, Parapar J. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 3, Sabina F. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Talavera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tenerife B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Talavera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Talavera to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Melilla - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Colonia Moscardó - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWW
- Tenerife B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.02.25	Tenerife B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	CD Guadalajara - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Tenerife B - Conquense	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Melilla - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
08.01.25	Tenerife B - Atlético Paso	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	Tenerife B - Talavera de la Reina	2:0

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