Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, LaLiga+


	Talavera de la Reina		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.85	3.35	3.95
	1.85	3.49	4.14	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.84	3.28	3.98
	1.77	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	3.94 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
49.4%

Draw
27.6%

CD Guadalajara
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Talavera will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 4. Lopez A. 23. Farrando M. 2. Cuenca D. 21. Montero Sergio 18. Capo P. 16. Navarro I. 14. Molina A. 7. Di Renzo G. 19. Gomez V.	13. Vicente D. (G) 5. Gallardo D. (C) 4. Ablanque J. 15. Rodriguez V. 18. Martinez J. 7. Neskes 8. Calvo T. 6. Rojo P. 19. Munoz P. 24. Caropitche S. M. 9. Canizo A.
Substitutes
10. Ayllon I. 20. Ferni 5. Molina S. 9. Moreno M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 3. Roig A. 8. Sanchez L.	11. Alvarez U. 23. Casado J. 16. Cera 20. Diaz B. 33. Exposito R. 27. Mayo N. 3. Moreno A. 21. Perero G. 22. Samuel 29. Verdu M. 1. Zarco A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
45', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rojo P. ↓, Samuel ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
60', Molina A. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
60', Gomez V. ↓, Ferni ↑,
62', 🟨,
65', Martinez J. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
65', Neskes ↓, Exposito R. ↑,
70', Munoz P. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
75', Sanchez L. 🟨,
77', Montero Sergio ↓, Molina S. ↑,
81', 🟨,
81', Rodriguez V. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
89', Cuenca D. ↓, Roig A. ↑,
89', Di Renzo G. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.

Talavera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arenteiro - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWLW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.02.25	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0
22.09.24	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	2:0
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.03.16	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	5:0
18.10.15	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	0:1

Upcoming Matches