Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (Cordoba)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ESPN South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Talleres de Córdoba		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	7	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5.25
	1.49	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.05	7.01
	1.52	4.05	6.96	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5	Watch
	1.54	4.1	6.73	Watch
	1.52	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)	3.93 ↑ (3.79)	6.37 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talleres de Córdoba
60.9%

Draw
24.2%

Alianza Lima
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

23.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talleres de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talleres de Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Talleres de Córdoba - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Talleres will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Talleres: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Talleres (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Alianza Lima (2.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Alianza Lima (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Talleres (1.86) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Talleres (votes: 4 - 40%). Alianza Lima (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 20. Schott A. (C) 44. Fernandez S. 28. Portillo J. 16. Navarro M. 5. Galarza M. A. 27. Portilla J. 11. Depietri V. 10. Botta R. 77. Rick 9. Girotti F.	23. Viscarra G. (G) 14. Huaman M. 4. Noriega E. 5. Zambrano C. (C) 13. Lagos R. 7. Gaibor F. 15. Castillo J. 51. Cari P. 8. Castillo E. 34. Paolo Guerrero 27. Quevedo K.
Substitutes
12. Barbi S. (G) 7. Bustos N. 3. Cardona T. 45. Chamorro T. 36. Chiavassa E. 19. Galarza M. 46. Gallard J. 17. Mosqueira J. 30. Ortegoza U. 26. Portillo M. 15. Riveros B. 6. Rodriguez J.	28. Aguirre G. 36. Alarcon R. 3. Amasifuen N. 29. Arias B. 9. Barcos H. 1. Campos A. (G) 11. D'Arrigo J. 37. Delgado J. 22. Enrique G. 24. Soyer B. 16. Succar M. 35. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Levisman M.	Gorosito N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Botta R. ⚽, Girotti F. (A),
27', Castillo J. 🟨,
27', Gaibor F. 🟨,
34', Rick 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Depietri V. ⚽, Botta R. (A),
45+1', Paolo Guerrero (Pen),
45+4', Girotti F. 🟨,
45+4', Zambrano C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Huaman M. ↓, Enrique G. ↑,
60', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
60', Cari P. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
64', Rick ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
64', Botta R. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
70', Noriega E. 🟨,
75', Zambrano C. 🟨,
78', Depietri V. ↓, Ortegoza U. ↑,
80', Castillo J. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
80', Quevedo K. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
83', Aguirre G. 🟨,
87', Burrai J. 🟨,
89', Girotti F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,

Preview

Talleres is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alianza Lima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Talleres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Alianza Lima has had a series of home games.

In this match, Talleres is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Talleres: Catalan M. (Knee Injury) Herrera G. (Injury) Palacios S. (Inactive) Reynoso E. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Inactive) Tarragona C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J. (Injury) Ceppelini P. (Suspended) Garces R. (Red Card) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Injury) Trauco M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Talleres: Benavidez G. (Injury) Botta R. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talleres won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talleres de Córdoba
Copa Libertadores
08.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Libertad Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Platense - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Alianza Lima - Talleres de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
10.05.25	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Alianza Lima - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.25	Alianza Lima - Cienciano	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Alianza Lima - Talleres de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.25	Alianza Lima - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Alianza Lima - Talleres de Córdoba	3:2

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