Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Relegation - Final

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Elva

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.8	1.66
	4	3.95	1.68	Watch
	4.22	3.98	1.67	Watch
	4.21	3.85	1.66
	4	3.95	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.32)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
22.3%

Draw
23.3%

Elva
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

23.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

22.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Tallinna JK Legion - Elva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolgov S. (G) 44. Borissov A. 38. Maearu S. 27. Havier M. 12. Salamatov N. 30. Volodin A. (C) 31. Samborskyi D. 11. Belenikin K. 21. Eensalu M. 13. Pochekutov V. 9. Balta A.	1. Kruus K. (G) 36. Ilves E. 6. Kutt V. (C) 3. Kuismala J. 55. Lani G. 27. Laaneots D. 15. Jaagant R. 25. Karasjov N. 13. Kanter J. 28. Lehter D. 18. Poldsaar K.
Substitutes
25. Arhipov L. 99. Martsukov I. (G) 20. Panov V. 23. Visman L.	22. Alev P. 20. Epro T. E. 21. Ivaste A. 12. Janes M. M. (G) 4. Laks A. 26. Saal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Eensalu M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Jaagant R. ⚽,
33', Kanter J. 🟨,
45', Laaneots D. 🟨,
45+1', Samborskyi D. 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Balta A. ↓, Arhipov L. ↑,
63', Bolgov S. 🟥,
65', 0 - 2, Poldsaar K. (Pen),
89', 0 - 3, Ivaste A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
10.11.24	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:6 ✺
Estonian Cup
31.10.24	Tallinna Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	3:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
28.10.24	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	2:4 ✺
24.10.24	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLT
- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
10.11.24	Elva - Viimsi JK	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Harju JK Laagri - Elva	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
30.10.24	Elva - Levadia Tallinn	1:3 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.24	Elva - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Elva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
05.11.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Elva	1:4
19.08.23	Elva - Tallinna JK Legion	0:0
13.05.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Elva	0:3
15.04.23	Elva - Tallinna JK Legion	3:2
Estonian Meistriliiga
27.11.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Elva	0:1
23.11.22	Elva - Tallinna JK Legion	0:3
Estonian Cup
23.10.21	Tallinna JK Legion - Elva	Legion walkover

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