Match Info

ESTONIA: ESILIIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.82	5.01	1.49
	4.33	4.5	1.5
	5.25	4.65	1.47
	6.25	5.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↓ (5.24)	4.85 ↓ (5.24)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
17.7%

Draw
18.8%

Levadia Tallinn U21
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Levadia Tallinn U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolgov S. (G) 59. Borissov A. 30. Volodin A. (C) 15. Pankov D. 11. Belenikin K. 2. Eensalu M. 13. Terletski A. 47. Vinogradov K. 27. Ivanov D. 25. Arhipov L. 51. Ruus D.	1. Ani O. (G) 33. Sokolov I. (C) 16. Aan R. 47. Lugtmeijer C. N. 28. Filatov A. 22. Sakarias A. 39. Tsernjakov A. 30. Grankin N. 24. Zakarlyuka A. 42. Laskov M. 17. Kablik H.
Substitutes
14. Balta A. 4. Gasinski D. 34. Havier M. 75. Maearu S. 17. Panov V. 66. Pochekutov V. 33. Samborskyi D. 38. Smirnov V. 35. Zukov M. (G)	55. Denissov A. 32. Dunits A. 7. Luts R. 36. Pihkva J. 35. Pjatajev D. (G) 31. Sibul A. 48. Urlih R.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legion won 3.

Legion is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Levadia U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legion could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Levadia U21 is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Legion won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Legion won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga
29.06.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Viimsi JK	0:3 ✺
10.06.23	Alliance - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLLWL
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
12.06.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Paide U21	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Flora U21	1:2 ✺
04.06.23	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
29.05.23	Alliance - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:6 ✺
25.05.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
25.05.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2
08.04.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2
22.09.19	Tallinna JK Legion - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:0
20.07.19	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	3:3
12.05.19	Tallinna JK Legion - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:0
04.04.19	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:4

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