Match Info

ESTONIA: MEISTRILIIGA - ROUND 36

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Referee: Pukk M. (Est)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.48	3.5	2.3
	2.55	3.55	2.35
	2.58	3.78	2.46
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.56	3.58	2.36	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.01)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	2.36 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
35.7%

Draw
25.8%

Pärnu Vaprus
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna JK Legion's form might have worsened.

Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna JK Legion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	21.1%	10.5%

Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Legion will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legion: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Legion is Meistriliiga (Relegation)

Pärnu Vaprus is Relegated to Esiliiga

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legion won 4.

Recent matches Legion is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pärnu Vaprus is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legion will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Legion won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 35-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Legion won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Meistriliiga
05.11.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Tammeka	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Tallinna Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	2:0 ✺
14.10.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Kuressaare	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 TLLWT
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
06.11.22	Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
04.09.22	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1
18.05.22	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna JK Legion	1:1
23.04.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus	3:0
06.08.21	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1
01.07.21	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna JK Legion	1:4
11.05.21	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus	7:1
Club Friendly
07.02.20	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1

Upcoming Matches