Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 12

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Levadia U19

	1	X	2
	3.55	4.05	1.72
	3.22	4.7	1.77
	2.48	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.55)	4.17 ↑ (4.05)	1.91 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
29.8%

Draw
22.1%

Levadia U19
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.2%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

21.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Levadia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levadia U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Hamburg J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Esna J. ⚽,
65', Tomingas M. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Kalev U21 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Levadia U19 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Levadia U19 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalev U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Including home match between the teams, Kalev U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	78:52	26	59
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
16.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:3 ✺
02.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	2:3 ✺
28.04.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLLLW
- Levadia U19
Estonian Esiliiga B
17.05.26	Tabasalu - Levadia U19	0:5 ✺
10.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Levadia U19	4:4 ✺
02.05.26	Levadia U19 - Viljandi Tulevik	2:5 ✺
28.04.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Levadia U19	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
18.04.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Levadia U19	0:5

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