Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 20

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Levadia U19		Tartu Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.33	3.60
	1.68	4.35	3.45
	1.72	4.82	3.3
	1.71	4.95	3.26
	1.69	4.75	3.05
	1.67	4.66	3.73
	1.98	4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.98)	4.55 ↑ (4)	3.31 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia U19
52.6%

Draw
19.9%

Tartu Kalev
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

22.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

22.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia U19's performance.

Tartu Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia U19 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadia U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Kalev than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tartu Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Levadia U19 will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Kruusla G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
61', 0 - 2, Karpenkov V. ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, Kaasik K. ⚽,
78', 0 - 4, Bazjukin N. ⚽,
82', 0 - 5, Bazjukin N. ⚽,

Preview

Levadia U19 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tartu Kalev's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Levadia U19 might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Levadia U19 will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Levadia U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Levadia U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Levadia U19	31	19	2	10	78:52	26	59
6	Tartu Kalev	30	15	2	13	72:58	14	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia U19
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:1 ✺
04.07.26	Levadia U19 - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	Levadia U19 - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Levadia U19	2:3 ✺
15.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Levadia U19	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL
- Tartu Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga B
12.07.26	Tartu Kalev - Tallinna JK Legion	10:2 ✺
04.07.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:1 ✺
18.06.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tartu Kalev	3:2 ✺
13.06.26	Tartu Kalev - Viljandi Tulevik	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
29.05.26	Tartu Kalev - Levadia U19	2:0
28.04.26	Levadia U19 - Tartu Kalev	3:1

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