Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL)

Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Colorado Springs Switchbacks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.02	3.55	3.15
	2.29	3.51	2.98
	2.00	3.64	3.40	Watch
	2.02	3.53	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.25)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	3.15 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
44%

Draw
26.5%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Hamid B. (G) 2. Castellanos R. 14. Vancaeyezeele T. 33. Guillen A. (C) 15. Azocar J. 27. Wyke L. 17. Crisostomo D. 11. Bodily B. 5. Marie P. 9. Arteaga M. 28. Pacius W.	1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Lacroix D. 5. Mahoney M. (C) 23. Metusala G. 33. Foster I. 37. Creek B. 13. Echevarria S. 20. Hanya Y. 22. Micaletto M. 11. Huerman Q. 27. Tejada J.
Substitutes
47. Alvarez L. 41. Bandre E. (G) 3. Lasso F. 22. Mendez A. 36. Rodriguez A. 25. Sharp C. 26. Skinner J.	32. Burke J. (G) 7. Fjeldberg J. 9. Johnson L. 8. Mrowka C. 6. Real M. 93. Vassell K. 3. Ward A.
Coaches
Casciato D.	Chambers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Marie P. ⚽, Bodily B. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Tejada J. ⚽, Mahoney M. (A),
21', 2 - 1, Pacius W. ⚽, Wyke L. (A),
26', 3 - 1, Castellanos R. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
32', 3 - 2, Tejada J. ⚽, Lacroix D. (A),
38', Wyke L. 🟨,
41', Castellanos R. 🟨,
43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 3 - 3, Micaletto M. ⚽, Foster I. (A),
59', Arteaga M. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
59', Crisostomo D. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
64', Creek B. ↓, Mrowka C. ↑,
64', Hanya Y. ↓, Vassell K. ↑,
75', Foster I. ↓, Real M. ↑,
75', Micaletto M. ↓, Fjeldberg J. ↑,
81', Marie P. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
81', Pacius W. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
84', Huerman Q. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,

Preview

Recent form of Tampa Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Colorado Springs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
06.09.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Detroit City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTL
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
06.09.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tulsa	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Oakland Roots - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.09.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tampa Bay Rowdies	4:2
27.05.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1
20.08.22	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:0

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