Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL)

Referee: Garcia E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.8	4.6
	1.55	3.95	5.15
	1.58	4.05	5.33
	1.55	4.28	5.01	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.57	3.8	5.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	3.91 ↓ (4.18)	5.02 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
58.5%

Draw
23.3%

Phoenix Rising
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

21.5%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pack A. (G) 30. Cruz S. 3. Schaefer B. 62. Dossantos N. 20. Ostrem C. 4. Hilton L. (C) 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L. 16. Micaletto M. 7. Conway E. 9. Myers M.	1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. (C) 24. Pelayo A. 20. Biasi L. 13. Moursou J. 37. Rivera G. 7. Sacko I. 17. JP Scearce 10. Avayevu H. 91. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
14. Henderlong K. 19. LeFlore I. 36. Rodriguez A. 23. Schneider M. 37. Tita J. 11. Vivi Quesada G. 1. Waite J. (G) 27. Wyke L.	47. Cross N. 87. Flores D. 33. Gaydon J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 44. Ping J. 19. Rivera D. 11. Studenhofft G. 6. Vukovic A.
Coaches
Casciato D.	Kah P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Pedro Becker ⚽, Myers M. (A),
17', Pelayo A. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
28', 2 - 0, Myers M. ⚽, Ostrem C. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Perez L. ⚽, Micaletto M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Myers M. ↓, Vivi Quesada G. ↑,
46', Schaefer B. ↓, Wyke L. ↑,
46', Pedro Becker ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
67', Perez L. ↓, LeFlore I. ↑,
67', Moursou J. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,
67', Ramirez E. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
75', Biasi L. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
75', Rivera G. ↓, Vukovic A. ↑,
81', Cruz S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Tampa Bay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Phoenix Rising is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
20.05.26	New Mexico United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Rhode Island - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW
- Phoenix Rising
USL Cup
16.05.26	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Phoenix Rising	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Miami - Phoenix Rising	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
16.08.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	1:1
10.08.24	Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0
06.05.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	2:0
15.05.22	Phoenix Rising - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:5
15.05.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	2:1
01.11.20	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	Canceled

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