The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Carolina 48.9%
Draw 25.2%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
27.4%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
27%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Carolina's performance.
Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Carolina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McGuire J. (G) 14. Rafa Mentzingen (C) 66. Sundstrom F. 27. Washington B. 55. Hodge T. 11. Burner P. 8. Pedro Becker 44. Sommersall R. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. 7. Conway E.
41. Bandre E. (G) 14. Vancaeyezeele T. 2. Castellanos R. 33. Guillen A. (C) 20. Moon N. 27. Wyke L. 17. Crisostomo D. 4. Hilton L. 26. Skinner J. 28. Pacius W. 47. Alvarez L.
Substitutes
19. Al Qaq A. 9. Anderson O. 5. Craig P. 16. Da Costa R. 20. Donovan C. 4. Malou J. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 10. Servania J.
9. Arteaga M. 15. Azocar J. 8. Bassett O. 1. Campisi N. (G) 3. Lasso F.
Coaches
Bradford J.
Casciato D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Servania J. ↑,
20', Maldonado M. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Hilton L. ⚽, Alvarez L. (A),
31', Vancaeyezeele T. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Conway E. ⚽,
45', Pacius W. 🟨,
45+1', Sundstrom F. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 1, Perez L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Pacius W. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,
57', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Bassett O. ↑,
57', Alvarez L. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
60', Servania J. 🟨,
60', Hilton L. 🟨,
71', Moon N. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
87', Perez L. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
90', Conway E. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
North Carolina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.9:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
North Carolina - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.09%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.