Match Info

National League - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	2	3.2	3.25
	1.98	3.4	3.55
	2	3.5	3.72
	2.05	3.29	3.53	Watch
	1.99	3.58	3.48
	2.13	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)	3.42 ↑ (3.42)	3.44 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
46%

Draw
27.1%

Eastleigh
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Tamworth - Eastleigh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tamworth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 6. Bates A. 5. Digie K. 15. Donkor K. 9. Duku I. 10. Enoru B. 11. Fairlamb L. 26. Hollis H. 14. Mols S. 7. Sayer H. 4. Tonks T.	1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 24. Cousins J. 21. Davis S. 6. Eweka T. 23. Holzman L. 9. McCallum P. 16. Pierre A. 15. Saunders H. 8. Taylor J. (C) 18. Waruih A.
Substitutes
2. Curley M. 27. Lynch O. 19. McGlinchey T. 38. Ponticelli J. 16. Riley J. 20. Roberts T. 12. Rye J.	11. Blair A. 7. Evans K. 4. Humphries L. 34. Ingram F. 14. Massiah-Edwards Z. 22. McNamara J. (G) 30. Underhill C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Bates A. 🟨,
30', Eweka T. 🟥,
38', Donkor K. 🟨,
38', Pierre A. 🟨,
45+7', McCallum P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Duku I. ⚽, Sayer H. (A),
55', Davis S. 🟨,
69', McCallum P. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
69', Waruih A. ↓, Blair A. ↑,
71', Mols S. ↓, Ponticelli J. ↑,
77', Donkor K. 🟨,
83', Cousins J. ↓, Underhill C. ↑,
83', Duku I. ↓, Rye J. ↑,
83', Sayer H. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
88', Saunders H. ↓, Massiah-Edwards Z. ↑,
89', Tonks T. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
90', Enoru B. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 11).

Tamworth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eastleigh is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tamworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tamworth will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tamworth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tamworth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
02.09.25	Braintree Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Tamworth - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gateshead - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Tamworth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Southend United - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLWL
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
30.08.25	Eastleigh - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Eastleigh - Boston United	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.03.25	Tamworth - Eastleigh	2:0
07.09.24	Eastleigh - Tamworth	1:0

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