Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 33

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Tamworth		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.36	4.75	7.5
	1.34	4.34	7.2
	1.4	4.58	8.02
	1.33	4.33	7
	1.37	4.55	7.75
	1.37	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.62)	4.49 ↑ (3.73)	7.35 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
67.2%

Draw
20.3%

Farsley
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tamworth's performance.

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Farsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 14).

Tamworth is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Farsley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tamworth is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tamworth to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League North
03.02.24	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Scunthorpe United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Tamworth - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Tamworth - Boston United	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Darlington - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWTW
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
03.02.24	Farsley - Bishops Stortford	3:1 ✺
27.01.24	Chorley - Farsley	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	South Shields - Farsley	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Farsley - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.08.23	Farsley - Tamworth	2:2
English FA Trophy
29.11.16	Tamworth - Farsley	0:4
26.11.16	Farsley - Tamworth	2:2

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