Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 32

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3	3.25	2.3
	2.85	3.2	2.19
	3.17	3.19	2.33
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	3.11	3.2	2.25
	3	3.1	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	2.24 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
30.5%

Draw
28.7%

Tamworth
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

27.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.2%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Alfreton Town - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 3.

Recent matches Alfreton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tamworth in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Alfreton have a series of guest games.

Tamworth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
30.01.24	Chorley - Alfreton Town	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Southport - Alfreton Town	2:3 ✺
23.01.24	Peterborough Sports - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Warrington Town - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Alfreton Town - Chorley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTTW
- Tamworth
English National League North
30.01.24	Scunthorpe United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Tamworth - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
23.01.24	Tamworth - Boston United	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Darlington - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
09.01.24	Warrington Town - Tamworth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
19.08.23	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	0:1
10.02.18	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	2:1
21.10.17	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	2:3
17.04.17	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	4:1
29.08.16	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	2:5
02.01.16	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	1:0
26.12.15	Tamworth - Alfreton Town	1:2

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