Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday


	Taranto		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.57	2.98	2.95
	2.57	2.98	2.95
	2.47	3.08	2.85
	2.43	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.16)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranto
36.9%

Draw
30.9%

Vicenza Virtus
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

31%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taranto's form might have worsened.

Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taranto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Taranto - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Taranto will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vicenza will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 16. Luciani A. 30. Miceli M. 15. Enrici P. 24. Valietti F. 23. Calvano S. 29. Zonta L. 3. Ferrara A. 14. Bifulco A. 10. Simeri S. 96. Orlando F.	98. Confente A. (G) 55. Golemic V. 14. Cuomo G. 23. Laezza G. 26. De Col F. (C) 10. Ronaldo 18. Tronchin S. 15. Greco J. 32. Costa F. 99. Della Morte M. 9. Ferrari F.
Substitutes
70. Capone F. 22. Costantino F. (G) 90. De Marchi M. 99. Fabbro M. 28. Fiorani M. 77. Kanoute M. 8. Ladinetti R. 1. Loliva A. (G) 72. Mastromonaco G. 21. Matera A. 17. Panico C. 27. Papaserio G. 6. Riggio C. 37. Travaglini C.	27. Busato G. 8. Cavion M. 77. Conzato F. 17. Delle Monache M. 76. Fantoni N. 1. Gallo E. (G) 33. Lattanzio A. 12. Massolo S. (G) 28. Mogentale T. 19. Pellegrini J. 5. Rossi F. 73. Sandon T. 44. Talarico R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ferrari F. ⚽,
24', Ferrara A. 🟨,
40', Laezza G. 🟨,
44', Confente A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ferrara A. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
66', Calvano S. ↓, Ladinetti R. ↑,
67', Simeri S. ↓, De Marchi M. ↑,
70', Laezza G. ↓, Sandon T. ↑,
71', Tronchin S. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,
77', Orlando F. 🟨,
77', Della Morte M. ↓, Delle Monache M. ↑,
78', Bifulco A. ↓, Kanoute M. ↑,
79', Valietti F. ↓, Mastromonaco G. ↑,
86', Zonta L. 🟨,
87', Costa F. ↓, Talarico R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Taranto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vicenza Virtus is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Taranto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group A
11.05.24	Taranto - Picerno	0:0 ✺
07.05.24	Taranto - Latina	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.24	Latina - Taranto	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Taranto - Avellino	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Monopoli - Taranto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWWW
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
28.04.24	Alessandria - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
20.04.24	Vicenza Virtus - Trento	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Mantova - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Pro Sesto - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTW

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