Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 19

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Monopoli		Taranto

	1	X	2
	1.35	4	8.5
	1.3	4.4	12
	1.35	4.3	10.97
	1.38	4.05	10.64	Watch
	1.3	4	11
	1.3	4.2	11	Watch
	1.3	4.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	4.19 ↑ (3.75)	10.87 ↑ (7.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
69.5%

Draw
22%

Taranto
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

24.5%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

22.9%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monopoli's performance.

Taranto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Monopoli - Taranto Predictions

Users Predictions: Monopoli will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 77. Viteritti O. 6. Miceli M. 5. Angileri A. 8. Battocchio C. 10. Bulevardi D. 19. De Risio C. 32. Falzerano M. 33. Yabre M. 9. Grandolfo F. 98. Bruschi N.	1. Del Favero M. (G) 14. Verde F. 4. de Santis I. 6. Shiba C. 72. Mastromonaco G. 8. Fiorani M. 24. Speranza M. 39. Iervolino A. 20. Guarracino M. 99. Battimelli G. 11. Zigoni G.
Substitutes
4. Bizzotto N. 71. Cellamare C. 7. De Sena C. 53. De Vietro C. 13. Fazio P. 25. Ferrini M. 12. Garofani G. (G) 3. Pace F. 21. Scipioni E. 16. Valenti B. 18. Virgilio P. 45. Yeboah P.	80. Fiorentino G. 27. Garau O. 34. Locanto G. 5. Marong B. 94. Meli G. (G) 17. Sacco F. 18. Schirru G. 33. Vaughn C. 77. Zerbo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
16', Shiba C. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Bruschi N. (Pen),
25', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
27', 3 - 0, Bruschi N. ⚽,
30', Fiorani M. 🟨,
35', Speranza M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shiba C. ↓, Marong B. ↑,
64', Fiorani M. ↓, Schirru G. ↑,
67', Yabre M. ↓, Pace F. ↑,
67', Grandolfo F. ↓, Yeboah P. ↑,
75', Falzerano M. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
75', De Risio C. ↓, Virgilio P. ↑,
80', Battimelli G. 🟨,
81', Angileri A. 🟨,
82', Iervolino A. ↓, Sacco F. ↑,
88', Angileri A. ↓, Cellamare C. ↑,
88', Mastromonaco G. ↓, Vaughn C. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Pace F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 2.

Monopoli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Taranto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Monopoli is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Monopoli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
09.12.24	Giugliano - Monopoli	1:2 ✺
02.12.24	Monopoli - Avellino	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Potenza - Monopoli	0:1 ✺
18.11.24	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Casertana - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWTT
- Taranto FC
Italian Serie C Group C
08.12.24	Taranto - Catania	1:5 ✺
01.12.24	Juventus U23 - Taranto	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Taranto - Benevento	0:2 ✺
17.11.24	Cavese - Taranto	3:0 ✺
11.11.24	Taranto - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.04.24	Monopoli - Taranto	1:2
11.12.23	Taranto - Monopoli	1:0
23.12.22	Taranto - Monopoli	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.22	Taranto - Monopoli	1:2
Italian Serie C Group C
04.09.22	Monopoli - Taranto	4:1
06.04.22	Taranto - Monopoli	2:0
14.11.21	Monopoli - Taranto	2:0

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